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Home » Monsoon 2024 Arrival Date in India [State Wise] – Know Rain Start Date for Your Region

Monsoon 2024 Arrival Date in India [State Wise] – Know Rain Start Date for Your Region

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Monsoon 2024 Arrival Date in India [State Wise]. Check Kerala, Delhi, Rajasthan, Up, Mp, Gujarat, Bihar, Maharashtra Monsoon Rain Start Date. Know Rain Start Date for Your Region in 2024.

Monsoon 2024 Arrival Date in India [State Wise]

The monsoon season holds a significant place in India’s climatic calendar, bringing much-needed respite from the scorching summer heat and replenishing the water reserves critical for agriculture and daily life. The arrival of the southwest monsoon in India is a highly anticipated event, often marked by celebrations and a sense of relief. This annual weather phenomenon, starting from the southern tip of the country and advancing northward, dictates the agricultural cycle and impacts the economy profoundly.

For 2024, the monsoon onset and its subsequent progression across various states will follow a well-defined pattern, which meteorologists meticulously monitor and predict. This article provides a state-wise overview of the expected arrival dates of the monsoon in India, offering insights into the anticipated weather patterns and their implications for the coming months.

Rainfall Prediction for May 2024 :

  • Rainfall across the country is expected to be normal, ranging from 91-109% of the Long Period Average (LPA).
  • The LPA of rainfall over the country for May, based on data from 1971-2020, is approximately 61.4 mm.

Forecast Probability for May 2024 :

  • Normal to Above-Normal Rainfall : 
      • Likely over most parts of Northwest India.
      • Some areas in central, peninsular, and northeast India.
  • Below-Normal Rainfall :
    • Expected in the remaining parts of the country.
  • Map Details (Fig. 3) :
    • Dotted areas typically receive very little rainfall in May.
    • White shaded areas within the land indicate no forecast signal from the model.

Onset & Advance of Monsoon :

Guidelines for Declaring Onset Over Kerala :

  • Rainfall :
    • After 10th May, 60% of the 14 designated stations (Minicoy, Amini, Thiruvananthapuram, Punalur, Kollam, Allapuzha, Kottayam, Kochi, Thrissur, Kozhikode, Thalassery, Kannur, Kudulu, Mangalore) must report rainfall of 2.5 mm or more for two consecutive days.
    • Onset of monsoon over Kerala is declared on the second day, provided the following criteria are met.
  • Wind Field:
    • Westerly wind depth should extend up to 600 hPa within the box from the equator to Latitude 10ºN and Longitude 55ºE to 80ºE.
    • Zonal wind speed in the area bounded by Latitude 5-10ºN and Longitude 70-80ºE should be between 15-20 Kts at 925 hPa.
    • Data sources can include RSMC wind analysis or satellite-derived winds.
  • Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR):
    • INSAT-derived OLR value should be below 200 W/m² in the box confined by Latitude 5-10ºN and Longitude 70-75ºE.
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Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM):

  • General Information:
    • Southwest monsoon typically begins over Kerala around 1st June.
    • It advances northward in surges, covering the entire country by approximately 15th July.
    • NLM indicates the northernmost limit of monsoon on any given day.

State Wise Monsoon 2024 Arrival Date in India :

Date Range Region(s) Weather Forecast
May 20-22, 2024 Lakshadweep Isolated heavy rainfall very likely
May 22-23, 2024 South Interior Karnataka Isolated heavy rainfall very likely
May 23-24, 2024 Coastal Karnataka Isolated heavy rainfall very likely
May 23, 2024 Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal, Kerala & Mahe Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall very likely
May 20-22, 2024 Coastal Karnataka Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall very likely
May 20, 21, 24, 2024 South Interior Karnataka Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall very likely
May 20-22, 2024 Tamil Nadu, Kerala Isolated extremely heavy rainfall very likely
May 20-24, 2024 Odisha, Bihar, Gangetic West Bengal, Jharkhand Isolated to scattered light to moderate rainfall with thunderstorms, lightning, and gusty winds (30-40 kmph)
May 20-21, 2024 Sikkim Isolated heavy rainfall likely
May 20, 2024 Assam & Meghalaya Isolated very heavy rainfall likely

 

  • Maximum temperatures (43-46°C) :
    • Most places : Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi, Rajasthan
    • Many parts : Punjab, Uttar Pradesh, West Madhya Pradesh
    • Some places : East Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat state
  • Maximum temperatures (40-42°C):
    • Many parts : Vidarbha
    • Isolated pockets : Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Maharashtra, plains of Himachal Pradesh & Uttarakhand
  • Above normal temperatures (by 2-4°C):
    • Many parts : Punjab, Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi, Uttar Pradesh
    • Some parts : Saurashtra & Kutch
    • Isolated pockets : Rajasthan

Heat Wave and Hot & Humid weather warning for next 5 days :

Date Range Regions
20th-24th May Punjab, Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi
21st-24th May West Rajasthan
22nd-24th May East Rajasthan
20th-21st May West Uttar Pradesh
20th May East Uttar Pradesh
20th May West Rajasthan
20th-21st May East Rajasthan
21st-24th May East Uttar Pradesh
22nd-24th May West Uttar Pradesh
20th-24th May Himachal Pradesh, Gujarat, North Madhya Pradesh
20th-22nd May Uttarakhand
20th May Bihar, Gangetic West Bengal
20th-21st May Jharkhand
21st-24th May Odisha
20th-21st May Konkan & Goa
20th May Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Odisha
20th-24th May East Rajasthan

Monsoon Updates : Monsoon Arrival Date 2024

  • Southwest Monsoon Advance :
    • Advanced into parts of Maldives & Comorin area, South Bay of Bengal, Nicobar Islands, and South Andaman Sea
    • Northern Limit of Monsoon: Passes through 5°N /75°E, 6°N /80°E, 7°N /85°E, Nancowry, and 10°N /100°E
  • Weather Influences :
    • Cyclonic circulation: South interior Tamil Nadu & neighbourhood (low and mid tropospheric levels)
    • Trough: Runs from west Vidarbha to south Tamil Nadu (lower tropospheric levels)
  • Rainfall and Weather Conditions :
    • Fairly widespread to widespread light to moderate rainfall with thunderstorms, lightning & gusty winds (30-40 kmph) over:
      • Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal
      • Kerala & Mahe
      • Lakshadweep
      • Karnataka
    • Isolated to scattered light / moderate rainfall with thunderstorms, lightning & gusty winds (30-40 kmph) over:
      • Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam
      • Telangana
      • Rayalaseema
    • Duration: Next 7 days
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Rain Forecast for the upcoming 7 days from 20th May :

Region 20th May 21st May 22nd May
Andaman & Nicobar Islands Widespread Widespread Widespread
Arunachal Pradesh Widespread Fairly Widespread Fairly Widespread
Assam & Meghalaya Widespread Fairly Widespread Fairly Widespread
Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura Fairly Widespread Fairly Widespread Fairly Widespread
Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim Widespread Widespread Fairly Widespread
Gangetic West Bengal Fairly Widespread Fairly Widespread Scattered
Odisha Isolated Scattered Scattered
Jharkhand Isolated Scattered Scattered
Bihar Isolated Scattered Fairly Widespread
East Uttar Pradesh Isolated Isolated Isolated
West Uttar Pradesh No Rain No Rain No Rain
Uttarakhand Isolated Isolated Isolated
Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi No Rain No Rain No Rain
Punjab No Rain No Rain No Rain
Himachal Pradesh Isolated Isolated No Rain
Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh Scattered Isolated No Rain
West Rajasthan No Rain No Rain No Rain
East Rajasthan No Rain No Rain No Rain
West Madhya Pradesh Isolated No Rain No Rain
East Madhya Pradesh Isolated No Rain No Rain
Gujarat Region No Rain No Rain No Rain
Saurashtra & Kutch No Rain No Rain No Rain
Konkan & Goa Isolated Isolated Isolated
Madhya Maharashtra Isolated Isolated Isolated
Marathwada Isolated Isolated Isolated
Vidarbha Isolated Isolated Isolated
Chhattisgarh Isolated Isolated Isolated
Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam Isolated Isolated Isolated
Telangana Isolated Isolated Isolated
Rayalaseema Isolated Isolated Isolated
Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal Widespread Fairly Widespread Fairly Widespread
Coastal Karnataka Widespread Widespread Widespread
North Interior Karnataka Fairly Widespread Scattered Scattered
South Interior Karnataka Widespread Widespread Widespread
Kerala & Mahe Widespread Widespread Widespread
Lakshadweep Widespread Widespread Widespread

 

Rain Forecast for the upcoming 7 days from 23rd May :

Region 23rd May 24th May 25th May 26th May
Andaman & Nicobar Islands Widespread Widespread Widespread Widespread
Arunachal Pradesh Scattered Scattered Fairly Widespread Fairly Widespread
Assam & Meghalaya Scattered Scattered Fairly Widespread Fairly Widespread
Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura Scattered Fairly Widespread Fairly Widespread Fairly Widespread
Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim Scattered Scattered Fairly Widespread Fairly Widespread
Gangetic West Bengal Isolated Scattered Fairly Widespread Widespread
Odisha Isolated Fairly Widespread Fairly Widespread Fairly Widespread
Jharkhand Isolated Isolated Isolated Fairly Widespread
Bihar Scattered Isolated Isolated Scattered
East Uttar Pradesh Isolated Isolated Isolated Isolated
West Uttar Pradesh No Rain No Rain No Rain No Rain
Uttarakhand Isolated Isolated Isolated Isolated
Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi No Rain No Rain No Rain No Rain
Punjab No Rain No Rain No Rain No Rain
Himachal Pradesh No Rain No Rain No Rain No Rain
Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh No Rain No Rain No Rain No Rain
West Rajasthan No Rain No Rain No Rain No Rain
East Rajasthan No Rain No Rain No Rain No Rain
West Madhya Pradesh No Rain No Rain No Rain No Rain
East Madhya Pradesh No Rain Isolated Isolated No Rain
Gujarat Region No Rain No Rain No Rain No Rain
Saurashtra & Kutch No Rain No Rain No Rain No Rain
Konkan & Goa Isolated Isolated Isolated Isolated
Madhya Maharashtra Isolated Isolated Isolated Isolated
Marathwada Isolated Isolated Isolated Isolated
Vidarbha Isolated Isolated Isolated Isolated
Chhattisgarh Isolated Isolated Isolated Isolated
Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam Isolated Scattered Scattered Scattered
Telangana Isolated Isolated Isolated Isolated
Rayalaseema Isolated Scattered Scattered Isolated
Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal Fairly Widespread Scattered Isolated Isolated
Coastal Karnataka Fairly Widespread Fairly Widespread Fairly Widespread Fairly Widespread
North Interior Karnataka Scattered Fairly Widespread Fairly Widespread Scattered
South Interior Karnataka Fairly Widespread Fairly Widespread Fairly Widespread Scattered
Kerala & Mahe Widespread Widespread Widespread Fairly Widespread
Lakshadweep Widespread Widespread Widespread Widespread
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Official website >> Weather Forecast & Monsoon Arrival Date >> mausam.imd.gov.in

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